TSP Market Summary: 2014
22 weekly market commentaries from 2014.
December 2014
Week of December 21, 2014
TSP funds rebounded this week driven by Fed Chair comments and falling gas prices boosting consumer spending and economic outlook.
- • Markets recovered from previous week's losses on positive Fed Chair commentary
Week of December 15, 2014
Markets struggled with S&P 500 hovering near 2000, but falling rates boosted F fund. Hope remains for year-end Santa Claus rally.
- • S&P 500 struggled to stay above 2000 level, indicating market weakness across stock funds
Week of December 07, 2014
C fund leads performance while technical weakness in S and F funds prompts allocation adjustments. I fund remains unfavorable vs G fund.
- • C fund maintains top performance ranking among TSP equity options
Week of December 02, 2014
Holiday-shortened Thanksgiving week saw lackluster market performance with light trading volume. New TSP allocations expected next week.
- • Markets showed weak performance during holiday-shortened Thanksgiving week with low volume
November 2014
Week of November 23, 2014
China cut interest rates, boosting markets initially. C fund leads performance with S fund strong among others. TSP allocations unchanged this week.
- • Chinese interest rate cut provided market boost but gains faded from morning highs
Week of November 17, 2014
Markets remained calm with minimal movement this week. Federal employees should prepare for increased volatility as economic data and FOMC minutes release next week.
- • Markets consolidated with little movement, providing stability across TSP funds this week
Week of November 09, 2014
C Fund shows renewed strength with large caps leading gains. F Fund benefits from lower rates while I Fund lags behind domestic markets.
- • C Fund (large caps) demonstrates renewed market strength and momentum
Week of November 03, 2014
October showed classic market volatility with S&P 500 dropping 110 points in first half, then surging 156 points. TSP reallocation decisions pending.
- • October delivered dramatic 'V-shaped' recovery after mid-month market decline
October 2014
Week of October 28, 2014
Markets rebounded this week, but analysts view it as temporary bounce rather than sustained recovery. Cautious outlook remains for TSP investors.
- • Markets posted gains this week but may represent temporary bounce rather than trend reversal
Week of October 18, 2014
All TSP stock funds (C, S, I) show negative performance rankings across time periods, prompting recommendation for more cautious allocations.
- • C, S, and I funds all have negative performance rankings across short and long-term periods
Week of October 13, 2014
Markets suffered worst week in two years, with Dow erasing all 2014 gains. Previous cautious allocation recommendation helped cushion the decline.
- • Dow Jones erased entire 2014 gains during market's worst week in two years
Week of October 07, 2014
I Fund triggers bearish 'Death Cross' signal after 2+ years of bullish trend, prompting shift to more cautious TSP allocation strategy.
- • I Fund shows bearish 'Death Cross' - first major negative signal in over 2 years
September 2014
Week of September 30, 2014
Markets showed high volatility with daily 100+ point Dow swings but ended positively. C Fund continues leading performance despite 6-week range-bound trading.
- • Extreme daily volatility with Dow moving 100+ points each day, but week ended positive
Week of September 16, 2014
Markets paused to consolidate gains with C Fund leading performance. Fed comments on Wednesday could drive movement this week.
- • Markets consolidated recent gains with a slower week of trading activity
Week of September 09, 2014
S&P 500 holds above 2000 for second week, showing market resilience. Commentary recommends increased exposure to C and S funds given U.S. market strength.
- • S&P 500 maintained support above 2000 level, indicating stronger market foundation
Week of September 02, 2014
S&P 500 reaches historic 2000 milestone in August 2014. TSP participants should prepare for new allocation guidance on September 5th.
- • S&P 500 hit historic high of 2000, marking strong performance for C Fund investors
August 2014
Week of August 25, 2014
Markets show resilience heading into Labor Day despite light volume, with S&P 500 approaching key 2000 milestone level.
- • S&P 500 nearing historic 2000 level, less than 1% away from this psychological milestone
Week of August 12, 2014
Markets consolidated this week with S&P 500 gaining 1% Friday. Strategy maintains balanced equity exposure for flexibility in uncertain direction.
- • Markets showed consolidation pattern with strong 1% S&P 500 rally on Friday
Week of August 05, 2014
Markets suffered worst weekly loss since 2012, prompting recommendation to shift toward safer TSP funds like G and F funds amid volatility.
- • S&P 500 posted biggest weekly decline since June 2012 despite being only 3.3% off highs
July 2014
Week of July 29, 2014
Markets declined Friday due to Amazon and Visa weakness, but overall outlook remains positive with key economic data expected next week.
- • Friday's market drop was driven by specific company issues (Amazon, Visa), not broad concerns
Week of July 22, 2014
Strong earnings supported markets despite Thursday's geopolitical selloff from Malaysian jetliner and Middle East events. TSP S, I, F funds adjusted accordingly.
- • Earnings season delivered positive results for most companies, supporting stock fund performance
Week of December 29, 2014
US markets end 2014 positively with C Fund leading gains. Historical pattern shows years ending in 5 have been positive since 1885.