TSP Market Summary: 2015
52 weekly market commentaries from 2015.
December 2015
Week of December 19, 2015
Fed raised rates for first time in 10 years, causing initial market gains followed by decline. TSP investors advised to maintain current allocations.
- • Federal Reserve implemented first rate hike in nearly a decade as markets had expected
Week of December 12, 2015
Lower oil prices hurt equity markets this week while boosting bond performance. Recommendation shifts toward more conservative F Fund allocation.
- • Oil price declines drove stock market weakness, particularly impacting Friday's trading session
Week of December 06, 2015
Markets showed extreme volatility with S&P 500 breaking 2100 resistance, followed by sharp Thursday decline and Friday rally. Net weekly gain of 1.6 points.
- • S&P 500 broke above key 2100 resistance level on Tuesday, a positive technical signal
November 2015
Week of November 29, 2015
Markets remained flat during Thanksgiving-shortened trading week. TSP allocation strategy unchanged heading into December trading.
- • Holiday-shortened week resulted in minimal market movement across major indices
Week of November 22, 2015
Markets climbed higher after initial caution, with equity funds breaking above key technical levels, prompting a shift from cash back into stocks.
- • Equity markets continued climbing throughout the week despite earlier cautious outlook
Week of November 14, 2015
Markets fell sharply on weak earnings and Fed rate hike fears. S&P 500 broke key technical support, prompting shift toward conservative G fund.
- • Dow dropped 200 points Friday on weak retail earnings and Fed rate hike concerns
Week of November 08, 2015
S&P 500 broke through 2100 resistance but retreated after positive jobs data. Market hesitation supports maintaining equity focus in TSP.
- • S&P 500 briefly crossed 2100 resistance level but failed to hold gains above this key threshold
Week of November 01, 2015
October saw markets recover from September lows with increased equity exposure in C, S, and I funds. S&P 500 approaching 2100 resistance level.
- • Markets bounced back strongly in October after September's decline across major indices
October 2015
Week of October 24, 2015
S&P 500 surpassed key 2060 threshold, closing at 2075, triggering increased allocations to C, I, and S funds as market momentum builds.
- • S&P 500 broke above critical 2060 resistance level, signaling stronger market momentum
Week of October 18, 2015
Markets showed steady upward momentum with low volatility. TSP commentary suggests waiting for S&P 500 to reach 2060 before increasing equity exposure.
- • Stock markets had positive week with steady gains and minimal volatility
Week of October 10, 2015
S&P 500 crossed 2000 target, triggering increased bullish stance. International and small cap stocks also gained, prompting higher equity allocation.
- • S&P 500 reached 2014, surpassing the 2000 bullish threshold set last week
Week of October 03, 2015
Markets ended Q3 down but started Q4 strong. S&P 500 recovered from Friday's job data dip to close at 1951, signaling potential bullish shift ahead.
- • Third quarter ended negative but fourth quarter opened with strong market recovery
September 2015
Week of September 26, 2015
Fed Chair Yellen's speech sparked Friday market gains that quickly faded. All major indices closed lower for the week, prompting defensive cash positioning.
- • Markets surged on Yellen's speech Friday morning but gave up all gains by close
Week of September 19, 2015
Fed kept rates unchanged but markets plunged, with Dow dropping 535 points by week's end. TSP stock funds remain weak, favoring cash positions.
- • Fed's rate decision initially boosted markets but sentiment quickly reversed into sharp decline
Week of September 12, 2015
Holiday-shortened week saw Tuesday drive most gains, coinciding with equity sell signal. Fed rate decision Thursday creates market uncertainty.
- • Tuesday's strong performance drove most of the week's market gains across equity funds
Week of September 05, 2015
Equity funds (C/S/I) entered bearish territory with technical breakdown. Recommendation shifts to risk-averse positioning until performance improves.
- • All three equity funds showed bearish signals as short-term averages fell below long-term trends
August 2015
Week of August 30, 2015
Markets showed high volatility last week before calming Friday. Expect holding pattern until Fed meeting Sept 17, with allocations unchanged.
- • High market volatility dominated last week before settling down on Friday
Week of August 22, 2015
Markets tumbled with Dow dropping 500+ points amid China concerns and Fed uncertainty. Commentary recommends defensive positioning in G and F funds.
- • Major market selloff with Dow losing over 500 points in single session Friday
Week of August 15, 2015
China's currency devaluation sparked global market volatility, but U.S. stocks showed resilience by week's end, prompting increased equity exposure.
- • China's currency devaluation triggered significant volatility across global markets this week
Week of August 09, 2015
US markets struggled with S&P 500 nearing 2100 and Dow posting worst 7-day losing streak since 2011. TSP allocations unchanged amid volatility.
- • Dow suffered worst 7-day losing streak since summer 2011, signaling broad market weakness
Week of August 03, 2015
S&P 500 remains range-bound at 2100 since spring. Fed policy, Greece crisis, and China market manipulation drive uncertainty. TSP allocations unchanged.
- • Market stuck in trading range since spring with S&P 500 hovering around 2100 level
July 2015
Week of July 28, 2015
Markets showing positive momentum Tuesday with S&P 500 futures up and overseas gains. TSP recommendation to move profits to G fund before noon deadline.
- • S&P 500 futures and overseas markets showing positive momentum Tuesday morning
Week of July 26, 2015
Stocks declined in late July 2015 with S&P 500 falling below 2100. TSP participants should prepare for potential portfolio adjustments.
- • S&P 500 dropped below 2100 level, indicating weakness in C Fund performance
Week of July 18, 2015
Markets shifted focus from politics to earnings, with Google leading gains. Strong corporate results may fuel summer rally, prompting increased stock exposure.
- • Markets returned to fundamentals with earnings driving performance over political concerns
Week of July 12, 2015
Greek crisis continued to weigh on markets, but stocks recovered Thursday-Friday. TSP commentary advises reducing equity exposure due to ongoing risks.
- • Markets showed resilience despite ongoing Greek debt crisis, recovering in latter half of week
Week of July 06, 2015
Markets rebounded after Monday's Greek financial crisis concerns. Despite volatility, TSP allocation strategy remains unchanged.
- • Greek financial crisis triggered Monday market decline but recovery followed through week
June 2015
Week of June 27, 2015
Small cap S fund leads TSP performance as quarter ends. International I fund outperforms domestic C fund over 6 months despite similar quarterly returns.
- • S fund (small cap stocks) continues to be the top performing TSP fund as Q2 concludes
Week of June 22, 2015
Markets showed modest gains with Thursday's strong performance offset by Friday's pullback. International funds resilient despite Greece concerns.
- • Dow gained 185 points Thursday but gave back half those gains on Friday
Week of June 14, 2015
Top equity funds (S, C, I) showing fatigue as S&P stalls at February highs. Bond fund outlook turns negative ahead of expected Fed rate hike.
- • S&P 500 stalling at levels first reached in February, suggesting potential market top forming
Week of June 09, 2015
10-year bond rates jumped from 1.67% to 2.40% since early February, signaling potential F fund declines and last chances for low mortgage refinancing.
- • 10-year bond rates surged from 1.67% to 2.40% since early February
Week of June 02, 2015
May showed strong performance with I, S, and C funds leading. All three remain above key technical levels, keeping current allocations unchanged.
- • I, S, and C funds topped May performance with rotating leadership among the three
May 2015
Week of May 26, 2015
Markets continued upward momentum heading into Memorial Day weekend, with commentary maintaining bullish equity positioning for potential summer rally.
- • Markets extended gains through the week, maintaining positive momentum into Memorial Day weekend
Week of May 18, 2015
Markets rallied broadly on Thursday. Portfolio shift favors International fund (I Fund) as top performer while reducing Bond fund (F Fund) exposure.
- • Thursday delivered strong broad market rally across multiple sectors
Week of May 11, 2015
Markets showed weekly pattern of weak starts followed by strong Friday rallies. All TSP funds maintained positive rankings with no allocation changes.
- • Markets experienced consistent pattern of weak early-week performance followed by Friday rebounds
Week of May 02, 2015
Markets recovered Friday after a tough week. International fund strengthening while bond fund flattening. TSP allocations unchanged.
- • Markets bounced back on Friday after experiencing weakness earlier in the week
April 2015
Week of April 28, 2015
S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit new highs, with NASDAQ reaching first peak since 2000. TSP strategy increases equity allocation as stocks break resistance.
- • Both S&P 500 and NASDAQ reached historic highs, showing strong market momentum
Week of April 20, 2015
Markets had a strong few weeks before Friday's 200+ point Dow drop. TSP allocations unchanged as advisor expects potential recovery ahead.
- • Friday's sharp selloff ended what had been several weeks of positive market performance
Week of April 13, 2015
Markets hit milestones with Dow above 18,000 and S&P 500 over 2,100. Small Cap and International funds lead performance rankings.
- • Major market indices reached significant psychological milestones signaling continued strength
Week of April 06, 2015
Q1 2015 ended with markets closed for Good Friday. TSP funds showing strength with current allocation maintained. Optimism for spring bull run.
- • Stock market closed Good Friday to end Q1, but TSP funds continue showing overall strength
March 2015
Week of March 29, 2015
International I fund outperformed C fund this week while Bond F fund gained strength, prompting recommended allocation adjustments for TSP participants.
- • International I fund showed strong performance, surpassing the C fund in weekly rankings
Week of March 23, 2015
Fed meeting drove markets to new highs with broad rally across all TSP equity and bond funds, prompting increased investment allocation.
- • Fed meeting this week pushed markets to record highs with strong performance across all sectors
Week of March 16, 2015
High market volatility with 4 days of 100+ point Dow swings resulted in minimal overall losses. TSP allocation remains unchanged despite turbulence.
- • Market showed extreme daily volatility with 4 of 5 days having 100+ point Dow moves
Week of March 09, 2015
Strong jobs report (295K new jobs) paradoxically caused Dow to drop 295 points. Despite mixed signals, positive trend maintained for TSP allocation.
- • 295,000 new jobs created but markets fell 295 points, showing complex economic reactions
Week of March 02, 2015
February 2015 brought strong gains to US markets with Small/Large cap funds near record highs. International fund showing strength ahead of March reallocation.
- • Both C Fund (large cap) and S Fund (small cap) posted strong February gains near record levels
February 2015
Week of February 17, 2015
Strong week for markets with C and F funds leading performance. I fund showing renewed strength, potentially challenging F fund position.
- • C and F funds topped performance rankings this week with strong market conditions
Week of February 11, 2015
International fund (I) performance turned positive, surpassing Bond fund (F), triggering shift in recommended TSP allocations for federal employees.
- • International fund performance finally turned positive after period of underperformance
January 2015
Week of January 29, 2015
S&P 500 struggles prompt reduction in C Fund exposure. International fund (I Fund) remains sidelined. Final January reallocation deadline Jan 30.
- • S&P 500 performance weakness driving defensive positioning in C Fund
Week of January 26, 2015
US markets continued gains while international markets launched quantitative easing program. TSP allocations remain unchanged pending developments.
- • US markets posted another week of positive performance across major indices
Week of January 18, 2015
US markets remained volatile but S&P 500 finished higher. Swiss Central Bank cut rates to negative territory. TSP allocations unchanged.
- • S&P 500 ended week positive despite continued market volatility affecting C Fund performance
Week of January 10, 2015
Markets showed extreme daily volatility with 100+ point Dow swings, ending down nearly 100 points. Optimism remains for continued upward trend.
- • High market volatility with daily 100+ point Dow swings impacted C Fund performance
Week of January 05, 2015
2014 ended weakly but optimism for 2015's first trading week drives shift from F to S fund emphasis based on performance rankings.
- • 2014 closed down but first week of 2015 trading expected to show renewed market strength
Week of December 27, 2015
Equity funds (C/S/I) show signs of recovery with S&P 500's Golden Cross signal. Modest resurgence suggests potential for diversified allocation.