TSP Market Summary: 2016
53 weekly market commentaries from 2016.
December 2016
Week of December 17, 2016
TSP markets consolidated this week after six weeks of record gains, with advisor maintaining current allocation despite Dow 20K hype.
- • Markets consolidated after extraordinary 6-week rally with new record highs across major indexes
Week of December 10, 2016
Markets surged to record highs with all major indices rising daily for first time since 2011. International markets showing strength, prompting I fund recommendation.
- • Dow, S&P 500, and NASDAQ all rose every day - first time since September 2011
Week of December 03, 2016
Markets mixed after 3-week gains, with unusual sector volatility between tech and financials. Energy sector shows strength amid ongoing swings.
- • Markets paused after three weeks of gains, with mixed results across major indices
November 2016
Week of November 26, 2016
Markets hit historic highs with strong sector rotation post-election. Russell 2000 extends 15-day win streak while focus shifts to U.S. equity positioning.
- • All major indices hit record highs with Russell 2000 small-caps leading on 15-day streak
Week of November 19, 2016
US markets near historic highs with small caps surging. Recommending shift toward S and C funds as bonds and international funds weaken.
- • Dow and S&P 500 approaching new all-time highs with small caps up 11 straight days
Week of November 12, 2016
Post-Trump election market reversal drives major sector rotation. Markets broke through key resistance levels, prompting shifts toward equities.
- • Markets reversed 800-point drop to gain 300+ points after Trump election surprise
Week of November 05, 2016
S&P 500 hits 9-day losing streak, dropping below 2100. TSP investors maintaining neutral stance ahead of election week uncertainty.
- • S&P 500 suffered 9-day losing streak, worst since 1980, signaling increased market volatility
October 2016
Week of October 29, 2016
S&P 500 fell 15 points after Monday gains, pressured by Friday election news. Technical indicators weakening, prompting TSP equity reduction.
- • S&P 500 dropped 15 points for the week despite Monday gains, hurt by election developments
Week of October 22, 2016
Microsoft hits 17-year high, but S&P 500's modest gains since 1999 highlight buy-and-hold risks. TSP tactical approach recommended over passive strategy.
- • Microsoft reached new all-time high, first since December 1999 - nearly 17 years later
Week of October 15, 2016
S&P 500 gained Monday then dropped to 2130 level for the week. TSP funds were closed Monday while regular markets operated, highlighting system limitations.
- • S&P 500 gained Monday then settled around 2130 level for rest of week
Week of October 08, 2016
S&P 500 declined from August highs, with all TSP equity funds dropping below key technical levels, prompting defensive positioning recommendations.
- • S&P 500 fell from August high of 2190 to 2153, signaling potential weakness ahead
Week of October 01, 2016
S&P 500 recovered Friday to close Q3 slightly positive at 2168, but markets remain stuck in sideways trading pattern since mid-July.
- • Markets finished Q3 on positive note despite Thursday selloff, with Friday surge saving the week
September 2016
Week of September 24, 2016
Fed comments sparked strong market rally this week, with S&P 500 jumping nearly 50 points. TSP equity fund allocation increase recommended.
- • Fed remarks on Wednesday drove significant market rally after three days of flat trading
Week of September 17, 2016
Markets showed high volatility with S&P 500 posting three 1% daily moves. Apple's 11% gain helped offset weakness. Fed meeting ahead poses risk.
- • S&P 500 had three volatile 1% daily moves this week, with two gains offsetting one decline
Week of September 11, 2016
S&P 500 broke down from base-building pattern, closing at session lows. Commentary recommends reducing equity exposure amid uncertainty.
- • S&P 500 gapped lower and closed at weekly lows despite breaking out of base pattern
Week of September 03, 2016
S&P 500 builds steady base with 40 days of low volatility, while S fund hits new yearly high. TSP equity allocation maintained ahead of post-Labor Day trading.
- • S&P 500 shows remarkable stability with 40 straight days of moves under 1%
August 2016
Week of August 27, 2016
S&P 500 continues building stable base, trading in tight 1% range since mid-July. Markets may break higher after Labor Day with equity focus maintained.
- • S&P 500 remains in narrow trading range, showing market stability and base-building pattern
Week of August 21, 2016
S&P 500 holds steady near 2183 for second week, building solid base since July. TSP allocations unchanged as markets await post-Labor Day breakout.
- • S&P 500 remained flat at 2183, showing stability after building base since early July
Week of August 14, 2016
Markets hit record highs with Dow, S&P 500, and NASDAQ all reaching new peaks. TSP strategy shifts toward higher international exposure.
- • All major stock indexes hit record highs showing broad market strength across sectors
Week of August 07, 2016
S&P 500 reached new highs above 2180 driven by strong jobs data. Current equity-heavy strategy maintained with potential adjustments next week.
- • S&P 500 hit new record highs, benefiting C Fund investors with steady 'slow and steady' gains
July 2016
Week of July 30, 2016
S&P 500 held steady near 2173, showing healthy consolidation that could support further gains toward the 2200 psychological level.
- • Markets consolidated around current levels, providing a stable base for potential future gains
Week of July 23, 2016
S&P 500 hits new high at 2175, prompting increased equity allocation recommendations amid continued upward market trend.
- • S&P 500 reached another record high, showing strong continued upward momentum
Week of July 16, 2016
S&P 500 hit historic high of 2163 driven by strong corporate earnings. TSP allocations unchanged ahead of Republican Convention week.
- • S&P 500 reached all-time high of 2163, lifting other major indices including TSP's C Fund
Week of July 09, 2016
S&P 500 nears 52-week high as C and S funds gain momentum over F fund, while I fund continues underperforming with negative returns.
- • S&P 500 came within one point of breaking 52-week high, signaling potential upward trend
Week of July 02, 2016
S&P 500 shows high volatility with 233-point swing while ending flat. Market remains range-bound around 2043 level for 20 months.
- • Market experienced extreme 233-point volatility despite ending week nearly unchanged
June 2016
Week of June 25, 2016
S&P 500 climbed above 2100 early week but Brexit vote Friday caused market turmoil, ending near November 2014 levels around 2037.
- • Brexit vote results on Friday disrupted steady market gains from Monday-Thursday
Week of June 18, 2016
S&P 500 dropped 1% in calm consolidation week. TSP allocations unchanged as markets prepare for potential move above 2100 level.
- • S&P 500 fell 1% but markets remained stable with low volatility during consolidation phase
Week of June 12, 2016
Markets reached 2120 but fell below 2100 by Friday. US funds outperformed international amid Brexit concerns, prompting allocation shifts.
- • S&P 500 hit 2120 mid-week but dropped back below 2100 level by Friday's close
Week of June 04, 2016
S&P 500 flat but bullish after weak jobs report. Market resilience suggests reduced Fed rate pressure, supporting TSP equity funds.
- • Market bounced back from weak jobs report selloff, showing strong underlying bullish sentiment
May 2016
Week of May 30, 2016
TSP system maintenance alert for Memorial Day weekend - trade deadline reminder for Tuesday morning before noon EST.
- • TSP systems unavailable May 28-31 due to scheduled maintenance over Memorial Day weekend
Week of May 28, 2016
S&P 500 broke out of trading range, approaching 52-week highs. Bullish momentum supports increased equity fund allocation recommendations.
- • S&P 500 finally broke above its recent trading range, closing near 2100 level
Week of May 22, 2016
S&P 500 traded in narrow 59-point range through May 2016, prompting TSP allocation adjustment to moderate equity exposure amid sideways market action.
- • S&P 500 remained range-bound between 2025-2084 for three weeks, showing market indecision
Week of May 14, 2016
S&P 500 ended flat for the week at bottom of trading range. TSP commentary recommends reducing equity exposure due to market fatigue patterns.
- • Markets showed weakness after Tuesday, with S&P 500 struggling at bottom of recent range
Week of May 08, 2016
S&P 500 closed at 2057 after weekly dip, recovering Friday. Market continues flat pattern between 2043-2058 range from year-end levels.
- • S&P 500 bounced back Friday to stay positive for 2016 despite weekly downward trend
April 2016
Week of April 30, 2016
S&P 500 consolidates at 2065 with bullish Golden Cross signal as 50-day moving average crosses above 200-day, supporting continued equity focus.
- • S&P 500 formed bullish 'Golden Cross' pattern signaling potential continued market strength
Week of April 23, 2016
All TSP equity funds gained with low volatility as S&P 500 neared historic highs, prompting increased allocation to C, S, and I funds.
- • All three equity funds (C/S/I) posted gains with unusually calm market conditions this week
Week of April 16, 2016
S&P 500 gained 1.5% to 2080, with equity funds (C/S/I) leading performance rankings, prompting increased allocation recommendations.
- • S&P 500 rose 1.5% for the week despite minor Friday decline showing market resilience
Week of April 10, 2016
S&P 500 fell 1% to 2047, remaining stuck in 18-month trading range. TSP equity positioning maintained while waiting for market direction.
- • S&P 500 down 1% for week, trading sideways in same range since November 2014
Week of April 02, 2016
S&P 500 turned positive for 2016 after Fed Chair Yellen's comments sparked a rally. TSP equity funds may see improved rankings as Q1 returns strengthen.
- • S&P 500 moved into positive territory for first time in 2016 following Fed Chair comments
March 2016
Week of March 26, 2016
Brussels attacks impacted small-cap S and international I funds negatively. Commentary suggests defensive shift to bonds for March.
- • Brussels terrorist attacks caused S and I funds to drop back into negative performance
Week of March 19, 2016
S&P 500 extends gains for fifth week, turning positive for 2016. TSP C Fund beneficiaries see continued recovery from February lows.
- • S&P 500 achieved fifth consecutive weekly gain, signaling sustained market recovery momentum
Week of March 12, 2016
S&P 500 broke above key 2020 resistance level, triggering bullish signals. S and I funds joined C fund in positive territory, outperforming bonds.
- • S&P 500 crossed above its 200-day moving average at 2020, signaling potential upward momentum
Week of March 06, 2016
S&P 500 nearly hit 2000 milestone, with all equity TSP funds (C/S/I) now trading above key technical levels, signaling potential strength ahead.
- • S&P 500 closed at 1999.99, just shy of the psychologically important 2000 level
February 2016
Week of February 26, 2016
S&P 500 broke above 50-day moving average resistance, prompting mid-week TSP reallocation recommendation to increase F fund and equity exposure.
- • S&P 500 closed above 50-day moving average, signaling potential upward momentum
Week of February 20, 2016
S&P 500 posted solid gains early week and maintained momentum. TSP allocations unchanged as C fund continues outperforming S and I funds.
- • S&P 500 gained ground early week and successfully held those gains through Friday
Week of February 13, 2016
S&P 500 fell 1% for the week despite Friday gains. All TSP equity funds (C, S, I) hit 52-week lows Thursday. Market faces critical support levels.
- • All TSP equity funds (C, S, I) reached new 52-week lows on Thursday
Week of February 06, 2016
S&P 500 fell below 1900 amid bearish conditions. LinkedIn plunged 40%+ in one day. TSP allocation remains unchanged due to market caution.
- • S&P 500 dropped below 1900, signaling continued weakness in C Fund performance
January 2016
Week of January 31, 2016
January ended with S&P 500 down 5% despite Friday rally. F fund outperformed equity funds (C/S/I). Current allocations maintained pending bullish signals.
- • S&P 500 lost over 5% in January despite strong finish, dragging down C/S/I fund performance
Week of January 24, 2016
Holiday-shortened week saw high volatility with S&P 500 dropping 3.6% mid-week before recovering to close higher, but still down 6.7% year-to-date.
- • S&P 500 swung dramatically from 1880 to 1812 low, then recovered 5% to close at 1906
Week of January 16, 2016
Markets faced another challenging week. Commentary advises staying out of equity funds (C/S/I) and making no TSP allocation changes this week.
- • Equity markets experienced continued weakness, making defensive positioning beneficial
Week of January 09, 2016
Markets posted worst first five days ever in 2016, with only F fund gaining. Portfolio shifted toward safer G fund allocation based on negative start.
- • Markets experienced historically bad first five trading days to start 2016
Week of January 01, 2016
2015 ended flat with volatility in August-October. TSP allocations remain unchanged as 2016 begins with hopes for upward breakout above 2100.
- • 2015 was a flat year for stocks with significant volatility from August through October
Week of December 24, 2016
Markets consolidated with S&P 500 flat at 2263. Dow approaches 20,000 milestone. TSP allocations unchanged amid year-end optimism.