TSP Market Summary: Week of April 11, 2020

By Roy Weisert, PhD, CFP

Key Takeaways

  • S&P 500 recovered to midpoint between 52-week highs and lows after extreme volatility
  • Coronavirus cases declining and stimulus measures support improving market sentiment
  • Three-week bullish trend suggests cautiously optimistic outlook for TSP equity funds

The “TIPS” in TSP TIPS is the acronym for “Trending Investment Portfolio Strategies”. I bring this up because it looks like we’ve subdued or flattened that upward “trend” of coronavirus as evidenced by the decrease in new cases being reported and lower death toll projections. Now that is good news in breaking a “bad trend”. Along that way we’ve seen a 1000 point range on the S&P 500, top ten all time bull and bear weekly moves, and historic volatility levels. We’ve fought off this virus by adjusting our lifestyles along with a stimulus bill and an accommodating Fed. On Friday, the S&P 500 closed at 2789, or pretty much at the midpoint between recent 52 week highs and lows. As such, this bullish “trend” over the last three weeks combined with the above mentioned items has resulted in an improving “glass half full/midpoint” perspective. Letting the “trend be our friend”, TSP TIPS is recommending the following reallocation change. Lastly, Happy Easter to all and continue to “Stay Safe”.

Recommended Allocation (Moderate Profile)

This is our historical recommendation from this date. For current recommendations, subscribe.

G FundF FundC FundS FundI Fund
30% 30% 40% 0% 0%