TSP Market Summary: Week of July 15, 2023

By Roy Weisert, PhD, CFP

Key Takeaways

  • Inflation dropped to 3% (lowest since March) while producer prices rose just 0.1%
  • All equity TSP funds (C, S, I) improved scores with S fund now matching C fund performance
  • Market sits 6.3% below all-time highs with earnings season dominating next week's focus

It was a bullish almost a five-star week as the S&P 500 closed at 4505. Monday and Tuesday saw gains each day (2 stars) and set the bullish stage for the rest of the week. Before Wednesdays open, the June Consumer Price Index annual inflation rate slowed to 3%, the lowest since March. The S&P 500 gapped open to the upside, almost crossing into 4500 territory and closing with another nice daily gain (3 stars). Thursday was a repeat of Wednesday as the annual Producer Price Index showed an increase of 0.1%, the smallest increase since the fall of 2020. Another gap open to the upside but this time the S&P 500 crossed above that 4500 level and closed there, sitting at another 52 week high (4 stars). Finally, on Friday consumer sentiment increased for a second month in a row to 72.6, the highest level since September of 2021. Although bullish most of the day, the S&P500 did slip into negative territory in the afternoon, giving us 4 stars. From a technical perspective, the S&P 500 has continued its string of new 52 week highs, is not in an overbought condition, and is now 6.3% shy of an all-time high. For next week we have retail sales data, but earnings will dominant the news. For TSP TIPS, all three equity funds (C/S/I) had improving Composite Scores and the S funds Performance Ranking (PR) now equals the C fund PR. As such we are recommending the following new investment mix.

Recommended Allocation (Moderate Profile)

This is our historical recommendation from this date. For current recommendations, subscribe.

G FundF FundC FundS FundI Fund
0% 0% 50% 50% 0%